The Effect of Firm Sales Decline on Conservatism Based on the Asymmetric Timeliness of Accruals

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph.D. in Accounting, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran.

2 Professor of Accounting, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran.

3 Professor of Accounting, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.

10.22103/jak.2021.16821.3379

Abstract

Objective: Because conservatism in financial statements is applied primarily through the adjustment of accruals, conservative research has largely examined the impact of aspects of this feature on changes in accruals. The role of accruals is primarily to improve cash flow fluctuations. In conservative research based on accruals, typically several economic components of accruals such as sales growth, gross assets, machinery and equipment in the Jones model, and components such as multi-period cash flows in the Dichau and Dicho models Used. Bushman et al. And Allen et al. Improved the two models by combining the above two models. Byzalov and Basu also helped improve these models by breaking down bad news indicators into more detailed components. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of bad news from other components of company sales, such as product group sales, fourth quarter sales and the company's share of industry, on conditional conservatism in accrual-based models
 Methods: To achieve the objectives of this research, data from 144 companies from manufacturing companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange for 11 years from 2006 to 2016 using Rahavardnovin software, Kodal site and the site of research, development and Islamic studies of the stock exchange, it was gathered. And the relationships between the research variables were analyzed using panel data and the generalized least squares method.
 Results: The findings of this study showed that the decrease in sales of the product group and the decrease in sales in the fourth quarter increase conservatism in accruals, because the decrease in these indicators gives signals to the company about the possibility of future sales decline. ; But the decline in the company's share of industry sales has not had a significant effect on the conservative behavior of managers and accountants.
 Conclusion: In evaluating working capital accruals, managers, in addition to the bad news caused by the decline in the company's overall sales, also pay attention to the analysis of sales decline of each product group in the evaluation of accruals, and if they see a decrease in sales in some product groups, They evaluate their inventory of these products for the next period with more conservatism. Also, if sales are declining for the fourth quarter, it is likely that the decline will continue in the next financial period, resulting in a lack of timely sale of available inventories at the end of the fiscal year, and the company is likely to devalue inventories. On the other hand, it seems that due to the lack of strong competition in the Iranian market and the limited available markets, managers pay more attention to sales changes and do not pay attention to changes in sales share in the industry, as a benchmark and predictive indicator of the future.

Keywords


اسدی مشیزی، محمد حسین؛ حاجیها، زهره، جعفری، سیده محبوبه. (1399). الگوبندی عوامل مؤثر بر محافظه‌کاری در شرکت‌ها. پژوهش‌های حسابداری مالی و حسابرسی، 12(47)، 168-139.
تاری وردی، یداله؛ عمادیان، ندا. (1400). تأثیر حساسیت جریانات نقدی نامتقارن بر رابطه محدودیت در تأمین مالی و محافظه‌کاری مشروط. پژوهش‌های حسابداری مالی وحسابرسی، 13(49)، 146-119.
حاجی‌پور، بهمن؛ مؤمنی، مصطفی. (1388). بازشناسی رویکرد منبع محور نسبت به منابع سازمان و مزیت رقابتی پایدار. اندیشه مدیریت، 1(5)، 102-77
خدا‌می‌پور، احمد؛ بزرایی، یونس (1392). بررسی رابطه رقابت بازار محصول با ساختار هیئت مدیره و کیفیت افشا. مجله دانش حسابداری، 4(14)، 66-51.
سدیدی، مهدی؛ ثقفی، علی، احمدی، شاهین. (1390). محافظه‌کاری حسابداری و تأثیرکیفیت سود بر بازده دارایی‌ها و بازده سهام. مجله دانش حسابداری، 2(6)، 24-11.
قاسمی‌نژاد، احسان؛ بنی‌مهد، بهمن. (1399). تأثیر محافظه‌کاری اجتماعی بر تردید حرفه ای حسابرسان مستقل: آزمونی از نظریه روانشناختی شخصیتی. دانش حسابداری مالی، 7(3)، 1-27.
قائمی، محمدحسین؛ صابر، امیر. (1395). تأثیر غیرخطی رقابت در بازار محصول بر کیفیت سود. مجله دانش حسابداری، 7(27)، 35-62.
کردستانی، غلامرضا؛ خلیلی، مهدی. (1390). تأثیر محافظه‌کاری بر محتوای اطلاعاتی تفاضلی جریان‌های نقدی و اقلام تعهدی. مجله دانش حسابداری، 2(4)، 53-104.
مهرانی، ساسان؛ سمیعی، فاطمه. (1397). تأثیر محافظه‌کاری مشروط بر کارایی سرمایه‌گذاری در نیروی انسانی. مجله دانش حسابداری، 10(2)، 156-137.
References
Allen, E.J., Larson, C.R., Sloan, R.G. (2013). Accrual reversal, earnings and stock returns. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 56(1), 113–129.
Asadi Mashizi, M., Hajiha, Z., Jafari, S. (2020). Modeling the factors affecting conservatism in companies. Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 12(47), 139-168 [In Persian].
Ball, R., Kothari, S.P., Nikolaev, V.V. (2013). Econometrics of the Basu asymmetric timeliness coefficient and accounting conservatism. Journal of Accounting Research, 51(5), 1071–1097.
Ball, R., Shivakumar, L. (2006). The role of accruals in asymmetrically timely gain and loss recognition. Journal of Accounting Research, 44(2), 207–242.
Basu, S. (1997). The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 24(1), 3–37.
Basu, S. (1995). Conservatism and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings. Ph. D. Dissertation, University of Rochester.
Basu, S., Hwang, L.S., Jan, C.L. (2001). Auditor conservatism and quarterly earnings. Available at http://ssrn.com/ abstract=2428862.
Berger, P.G., Hann, R.N. (2007). Segment profitability and the proprietary and agency costs of disclosure. The Accounting Review, 82(4), 869–906.
Bhat, G., Lee, J.A., Ryan, S.G. (2014). Using loan loss indicators by loan type to sharpen the evaluation of the determinants and implications of banks’ loan loss accruals. Working Paper, Available at http://ssrn.com/ abstract=2490670.
Byzalov, D., Basu, S. (2016). Conditional conservatism and disaggregated bad news indicators in accrual models. Review of Accounting Studies, 21(3), 859-897.
Collins, W.A., Hopwood, W.S., McKeown, J.C. (1984). The predictability of interim earnings over alternative quarters. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 467-479.
Dhaliwal, D., Huang, S., Khurana, I. K., Pereira, R. (2014). Product market competition and conditional conservatism. Review of Accounting Studies, 19(4), 1309–1345.
Darrough, M.N., Stoughton, N.M. (1990). Financial disclosure policy in an entry game. Journal of accounting and economics, 12(1-3), 219-243.
Dechow, P.M. (1994). Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance: The role of accounting accruals. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 18, 3–42.
Dechow, P.M., Dichev, I.D. (2002). The quality of accruals and earnings: The role of accrual estimation errors. The Accounting Review, 77(supplement), 35–59.
Dechow, P.M., Kothari, S.P., Watts, R.L. (1998). The relation between earnings and cash flows. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 25, 133–168.
Dontoh, A. (1989). Voluntary disclosure. Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, 4, 480-511.
Ettredge, M.L., Simon, D.T., Smith, D.B. Stone, M.S. (1994). Why do firms purchase timely quarterly reviews? Journal of Accounting and Economics, 18, 131-155.
Fairfield, P., Ramnath, S., Yohn, T.L. (2009). Do industry-level analyses improve forecasts of financial performance? Journal of Accounting Research, 47(1), 147–178.
Garcia Lara, J.M., Garcia Osma, B., Penalva, F. (2009). Accounting conservatism and corporate governance. Review of Accounting Studies, 14(1), 161–201.
Ghaemi, M., Saber, A. (2017). Non-linear impacts of product market competition on earnings quality. Journal of Accounting Knowledge, 7(27), 35-62 [In Persian].
Ghaseminezhad, E., Banimahd, B. (2020). The impact of social conservatism on the professional doubts of independent auditors: A test of personality psychological theory. Knowledge of Financial Accounting, 7(3), 1-27 [In Persian].
Hajipour, B., Moumeni, M. (2009). Recognizing resource-based approach to organizational resources and constant competitive advantage (Case study: saran manufacturing co. Management Thought, 1(5), 77–102 [In Persian].
Holthausen, R.W., Watts, R.L. (2001). The relevance of the value-relevance literature for financial accounting standard setting. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 31, 3–75.
Jayaraman, S., Shivakumar, L. (2013). Agency-based demand for conservatism: Evidence from state adoption of antitakeover laws. Review of Accounting Studies, 18(1), 95–134.
Jones, J.J. (1991). Earnings management during import relief investigations. Journal of Accounting Research, 29(2), 193–228.
Khodamipour, A., Bazraie, Y. (2013). Investigation on the relationship between product market competition with board structure and disclosure quality. Journal of Accounting Knowledge, 4(14), 51-66 [In Persian].
Kordestani, G., Khalili, M. (2011). Impact of accounting conservatism on differential information content of cash flows and accruals. Journal of Accounting Knowledge, 2(4), 53-104 [In Persian].
LaFond, R., Roychowdhury, S. (2008). Managerial ownership and accounting conservatism. Journal of Accounting Research, 46(1), 101–135.
Lara, J.M.G., Osma, B.G., Penalva, F. (2020). Conditional conservatism and the limits to earnings management. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 39(4), 106738.
Mehrani, S., Samie, F. (2019). Impacts of conditional conservatism on labor investment efficiency. Journal of Accounting Knowledge, 10(2), 137-156 [In Persian].
Mendenhall, R.R., Nichols, W.D. (1988). Bad News and differential market reactions to announcements of earlier-quarters versus fourth-quarter earnings. Journal of Accounting Research, 26(Supplement), 63-86.
Mora, A., Walker, M. (2015). The implications of research on accounting conservatism for accounting standard setting. Accounting and Business Research, 45(5), 620–650.
Nikolaev, V.V. (2010). Debt covenants and accounting conservatism. Journal of Accounting Research, 48(1), 51–89.
Paek, W. (2020). Asymmetric timeliness of earnings recognition and overestimation of accruals quality. Korean Journal of Financial Studies, 49(1), 135-161.
Pandey, I. (2004). Capital structure, profitability and market structure: Evidence from Malaysia. Asia Pacific Journal of Economics and Business, (8)2, 78-91.
Patatoukas, P.N., Thomas, J.K. (2011). More evidence of bias in differential timeliness estimates of conditional conservatism. The Accounting Review, 86(5), 1765–1793.
Potepa, J. (2014). The treatment of special items in determining CEO cash compensation. Working Paper, Available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=2426669.
Qiang, X. (2007). The effects of contracting, litigation, regulation, and tax costs on conditional and unconditional conservatism: Cross-sectional evidence at the firm level. The Accounting Review, 82(3), 759–796.
Ruch, G.W., Taylor, G. (2015). Accounting conservatism: A review of the literature. Journal of Accounting Literature, 34, 17–38
Sadidi, M., Saghafi, A., Ahmadi, S. (2011). Accounting conservatism and the effects of earning quality on the return of assets and stock return. Journal of Accounting Knowledge, 2(6), 11-24 [In Persian].
Skinner, D.J. (1994). Why firms voluntarily disclose bad news. Journal of Accounting Research 32, 38-60
Tari Verdi, Y, Emadian, N. (2021). The effect of asymmetric cash flow sensitivity on the relationship between financing constraints and conditional conservatism. Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 13(49), 119-146 [In Persian].
Thoman, L., (1996). Legal damages and auditor efforts. Contemporary Accounting Research, 13, 275-306.
Watts, R.L. (2003a). Conservatism in accounting, part I: Explanations and implications. Accounting Horizons, 17(3), 207–221.
Watts, R.L. (2003b). Conservatism in accounting, part II: Evidence and research opportunities. Accounting Horizons, 17(4), 287–301.
Zhang, Y. (2020). Conditional conservatism and trade credit during the global financial crisis. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 39(4), 106728.